000
WTNT22 KNHC 061431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072015
1500 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  29.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  29.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  29.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.0N  32.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.3N  34.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.6N  37.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.8N  40.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.3N  45.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 15.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 15.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  29.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH