000
WTNT22 KNHC 052031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  26.4W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  26.4W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N  30.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.5N  33.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N  36.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.8N  42.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.1N  48.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N  53.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  26.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN