000
WTNT22 KNHC 051456
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  61.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  61.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N  61.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.0N  60.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.2N  59.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.3N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 40.5N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 46.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  61.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BROWN