000
WTNT22 KNHC 050234
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0300 UTC WED OCT 05 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  60.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  60.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  60.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.3N  61.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.1N  61.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.2N  60.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.4N  59.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 40.5N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN