000
WTNT22 KNHC 040233
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0300 UTC TUE OCT 04 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  57.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  57.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  56.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.9N  60.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.5N  61.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.3N  61.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.7N  56.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 30.3N  52.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  57.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN