000
WTNT22 KNHC 032036
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC MON OCT 03 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  56.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  56.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  56.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 24.8N  60.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.2N  61.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.8N  61.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  75SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 30.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  56.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG