000
WTNT22 KNHC 031453
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC MON OCT 03 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  55.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE  90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  55.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  54.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.0N  57.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.2N  59.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.7N  60.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.5N  60.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG