000
WTNT22 KNHC 020251
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0300 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  49.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  49.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  49.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.8N  51.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.0N  53.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 25.9N  55.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  49.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN