000
WTNT22 KNHC 012031
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  49.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  49.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.6N  50.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.9N  52.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.8N  54.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N  57.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 32.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  49.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG