000
WTNT22 KNHC 300845
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  44.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  44.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  44.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.9N  46.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.9N  47.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.5N  49.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.9N  51.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.1N  55.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 25.0N  58.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  44.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN