000
WTNT22 KNHC 292038
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  43.6W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......165NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  43.6W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  43.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.4N  44.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...135NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.8N  46.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.8N  48.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.5N  50.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG