000
WTNT22 KNHC 291452
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  42.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  42.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  42.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.7N  43.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...135NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.1N  45.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N  47.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N  49.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N  60.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  42.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG