000
WTNT22 KNHC 272034
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  36.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  36.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  35.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.4N  37.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.9N  39.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.3N  41.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.6N  42.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 25.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  36.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN