000
WTNT22 KNHC 271432
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  35.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  35.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  35.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N  36.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.6N  38.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N  40.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.7N  41.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 24.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  35.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH