000
WTNT22 KNHC 252042
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  31.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  20SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  31.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  31.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N  33.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.1N  34.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N  35.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N  36.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N  38.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N  39.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  39.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  31.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/STEWART