000
WTNT22 KNHC 242055
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  27.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  27.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  27.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.6N  29.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.5N  31.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.6N  33.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.8N  34.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N  36.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  27.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART