000
WTNT22 KNHC 020235
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  50.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  45SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  50.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  50.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N  52.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  55SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  75SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  90SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 26.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  50.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA