000
WTNT22 KNHC 191436
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022011
1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  75.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  75.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 30.6N  75.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 31.6N  73.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.9N  72.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N  70.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  75.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

000
WTNT22 KNHC 191436
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022011
1500 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  75.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  75.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 30.6N  75.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 31.6N  73.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.9N  72.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N  70.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 37.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  75.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH