000
WTNT22 KNHC 070841
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172010
0900 UTC THU OCT 07 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  68.2W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  68.2W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  68.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N  67.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.1N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.8N  63.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  35NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.8N  59.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.5N  48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  68.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE