000
WTNT22 KNHC 171432
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
1500 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  46.7W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  46.7W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  45.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.8N  48.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.3N  51.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.9N  52.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N  51.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N  48.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  46.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH