000
WTNT22 KNHC 162039
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
2100 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  41.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  41.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.2N  43.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N  47.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 27.9N  49.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.1N  51.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 37.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N  41.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG