000
WTNT22 KNHC 161451
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
1500 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  38.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  38.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  37.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.7N  41.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N  44.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.3N  47.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 29.3N  49.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.2N  49.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 35.8N  46.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  38.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART