000
WTNT22 KNHC 160246
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0300 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  34.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  34.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  33.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N  36.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.6N  40.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.3N  43.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N  49.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  90SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 35.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 36.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  34.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG