000
WTNT22 KNHC 150848
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  31.8W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  31.8W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  31.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N  33.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE  95SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.4N  35.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.2N  39.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.4N  42.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.3N  48.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 30.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N  49.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  31.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI