000
WTNT22 KNHC 150236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  30.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  30.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  30.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N  32.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.4N  34.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N  37.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.4N  40.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  30.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG