000
WTNT22 KNHC 142036
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  30.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  30.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  29.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N  31.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N  33.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  95SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.3N  35.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.8N  39.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N  46.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 29.1N  50.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  30.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN