000
WTNT22 KNHC 140836
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  29.0W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  29.0W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  28.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N  30.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.1N  31.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  75SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.7N  33.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N  36.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N  42.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 27.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 32.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  29.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI