000
WTNT22 KNHC 130243
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
0300 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  23.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  23.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  22.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.0N  25.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.9N  27.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.9N  29.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 85NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N  31.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.9N  35.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...115NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N  41.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N  46.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  23.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN