000
WTNT22 KNHC 121452
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122010
1500 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO
TIAGO...FOGO...AND BRAVA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  21.4W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  21.4W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  20.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.8N  23.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.5N  25.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.5N  27.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.7N  29.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.0N  32.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  21.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN