000 WTNT22 KNHC 021455 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS FROM WESTPORT EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. * WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA. * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. * THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. * NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE. * THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR. * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 74.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 70.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 53.5N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 74.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA