000 WTNT22 KNHC 020846 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...AND WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE. ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. * WESTPORT TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA. * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. * NORTH OF PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE. * THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 74.7W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 74.7W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 74.4W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N 75.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N 74.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.1N 72.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.6N 69.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.5N 62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 74.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN