000 WTNT22 KNHC 011454 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010 1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS * FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 72.1W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 72.1W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 71.6W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N 73.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N 75.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N 75.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.0N 73.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 55.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 72.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA