000
WTNT22 KNHC 311452
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  67.9W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 180SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  67.9W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  67.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N  69.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N  71.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N  73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  67.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA