000
WTNT22 KNHC 270230
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  40.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  40.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N  42.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N  46.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  49.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N  52.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA