000
WTNT22 KNHC 260834
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  34.8W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  34.8W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  34.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.7N  37.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N  40.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N  43.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.7N  47.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N  52.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  34.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN