000
WTNT22 KNHC 081455
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
1500 UTC SAT NOV 08 2008
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND HOLGUIN AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  79.3W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE 105SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  79.3W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  79.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.4N  78.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N  76.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N  75.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N  76.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.0N  77.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  79.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE