000
WTNT22 KNHC 010841
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
0900 UTC MON SEP 01 2008
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER HAS BEEN
CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  89.5W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT.......120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 175SE 140SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  89.5W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  88.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 140SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N  92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.4N  93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 31.8N  94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 32.0N  95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N  96.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  89.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG