000
WTNT22 KNHC 300857
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
0900 UTC SAT AUG 30 2008
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA AND THE ISLA DE JUVENTUD. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.
 
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  81.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  25SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  81.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  80.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.2N  82.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 85NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  90SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.9N  84.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.6N  86.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N  88.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  91.5W...NEAR LOUISIANA COAST
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.5N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 31.0N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  81.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA