000
WTNT22 KNHC 282031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  49.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  49.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  49.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.1N  50.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N  52.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.2N  53.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.3N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  49.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA