000
WTNT22 KNHC 280846
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  49.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.8N  50.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.0N  52.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N  53.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.5N  56.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  65NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 22.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 22.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  49.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI