000
WTNT22 KNHC 280245
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  49.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.7N  50.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.9N  52.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N  53.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.2N  54.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 23.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  49.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE