000
WTNT22 KNHC 270841
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  46.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......150NE 105SE  25SW  75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  46.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  46.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.6N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.8N  50.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.9N  51.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.1N  53.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  46.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI