000
WTNT22 KNHC 270249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  45.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......150NE 105SE  25SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  45.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  44.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N  46.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 105SE  25SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.2N  48.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.5N  51.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.4N  54.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  45.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE