000
WTNT22 KNHC 260244
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.0W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.0W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  40.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.6N  43.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.6N  45.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.8N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.3N  49.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N  51.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  41.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN