000
WTNT22 KNHC 251456
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  38.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  38.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  38.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.2N  40.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.8N  43.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.5N  46.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N  48.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N  51.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N  38.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH