000
WTNT22 KNHC 081441
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM
SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBERMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST AND TO NEW
POINT COMFORT ALONG CHESAPEAKE BAY.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM SOUTH OF SURF CITY SOUTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  74.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  74.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  73.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.4N  75.3W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.8N  76.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.2N  75.6W...NEAR NC OUTER BANKS
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.4N  74.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N  58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 46.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  74.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB