000
WTNT22 KNHC 080839
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  73.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  73.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.8N  74.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N  76.2W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N  76.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.0N  50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  73.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA