424 
WTNT21 KNHC 221450
TCMAT1
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  75.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......240NE   0SE  60SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 160SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  75.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  75.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 33.2N  76.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE  80SE  80SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.9N  76.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.8N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 38.3N  77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 39.3N  76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  75.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART