000
WTNT21 KNHC 090251
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  63.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  63.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  64.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N  61.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 36.9N  57.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.7N  53.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 130SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 280SE 230SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.3N  51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.2N  50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...260NE 250SE 250SW 260NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 45.0N  49.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 185SE 220SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 45.8N  46.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 46.5N  41.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  63.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH