000
WTNT21 KNHC 050244
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
EARL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  65.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  65.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.3N  65.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.6N  65.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N  65.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.4N  65.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 28.7N  64.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 32.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH